Right now, the forecast is calling for calm conditions on Thursday and Sunday but Friday and Saturday could blow well over 20 mph. Ever heard of him? PGA Tour player approach shots: 100-125 yards GIR: 74.59% Proximity from the fairway: 20'0 Proximity from the rough: 30'3 PGA Tour player approach shots: 150-175 yards GIR: 63.95% Just nine players rate out above average in each of the above top-10 stat categories for Bay Hill:Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Sungjae Im, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Tony Finau, Jason Day, Tyrrell Hatton, andWill Zalatoris. Hes still chasing his first career win at this event, but with three top-10 finishes over the last four years, its clear this layout is suited to his game. Bet with your head, not over it. The Florida Swing is a cluttered stretch on the PGA TOUR schedule. Players will not have a wedge in their hands too often, unless they have chosen to lay up out of the rough. Proximity to the hole is measured by the average distance the ball comes to rest from the hole after the player's approach. There is a long list of 18 players who have avoided missing the cut over the last five years (minimum three appearances): McIlroy, Kirk, Im, Hatton, Bradley, Bezuidenhout, Mitchell, Homa, Matsuyama, Fowler, An, Viktor Hovland, Patrick Rodgers, Harris English, Zach Johnson, Brendon Todd, and Beau Hossler. The perfect golfer for Riviera CC should be solid in Good Drives Gained + SG: OTT, Proximity: 150-200, and SG: Around the Green. @JustinThomas34 proximity to hole ranks 50-75 yards: 3rd 75-100 yards: 1st 100-125 yards: 1st 125-150 yards: 2nd 150-175 yards: 3rd 06 Sep 2022 19:22:40 The win foreshadowed better results later to come for Scheffler in Majors. However, the defending champion but will not be in the field for his title defense after leaving the PGA TOUR behind for LIV. Rose holds a B.A. It's more about intuitively knowing how much juice to put on, the same for a "feel shot" you make with a 56 or 60 degree from ~60 yards out. We hate touts. I do my practice with Trackman and I carry my 7 iron about 177-180 yards and total distance of 188-192 yards with my TaylorMade PSi irons. Note the powerful, quiet 30v 230w motor nestling in a low profile, styled PowaFrame with the new unique Plug'n'Play 30-volt Max battery and motor system. We know he is an elite iron player, he ranks No. With such a loaded field this week, it is seemingly more of a practice of picking which elite player is going to win. It is highlighted by the big-three of Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler. For more coverage of the Darius Rucker Intercollegiate and NCAA and professional golf, visit golfchannel.com. Atthaya Thitikul of Thailand tees off on the eighth hole during the Final Round of the HSBC Women's World Championship at Sentosa Golf Club on March 06, 2022 in Singapore. After McIlroy, the rest of the top 10 in Course History includesTyrrell Hatton, Francesco Molinari, Sungjae Im, Jason Day, Adam Scott, Scottie Scheffler, Matt Fitzpatrick, Justin Rose, and Tommy Fleetwood. SG: P (20-25 ft), P3: 200+andDriving Distancealso saw notable increases in importance compared to TOUR average. Scott credited his repeated success at Riviera to his comfort on Poa greens. 1 player, hottest golfer in the world, and inevitable favorite in Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, Jon Rahm, claims the top spot in the model this week. Even they will struggle to hit a high percentage of fairways with the firm conditions, undulated runoffs, and intermittent pick ups in wind. June 12, 2022 . Since 2015, Matsuyama has posted four top-11 finishes in seven appearances. From short approach shots (60-100 yards) the average proximity is shown below from 3 different lie types: fairway, rough and bunker. Whats in my bag? That's your average yardage. With one great course after the other, everyone starts by prioritizing THE PLAYERS Championship, but cant play them all. Matsuyama ranks No. With the strongest field weve seen in recent memory on tap this week, the stakes will be higher than ever before. In 2021, Bryson DeChambeau and Lee Westwood, who sit on opposite sides of the distance spectrum, fought neck and neck from start to finish. Consider putting: right around 8' is typically the break point on the PGA Tour for making 50% of putts. According the Leaderboard website, PGA Tour players' average 4-iron shots travel 210 to 220 yards (including the roll). Last year, the proximity buckets that ranked above TOUR average were 150-175 yards, 175-200 yards, and 200 yard plus. For bettors sake, youll find better value looking anywhere else on the outright board. Narrow fairways and tight doglegs make the course extremely challenging. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. But it was his putting that proved most consequential. Standing over 7,400 yards, Bay Hill will force a high volume of approaches from 200+ yards, and features some of the thickest rough on TOUR. The top 10 players in SG: ARG are Thomas, Piercy, Donald, Matsuyama, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Byeong Hun An, Taylor Montgomery, Kurt Kitayama, Brendon Todd, and Patrick Rodgers. Agronomically, Torrey Pines (South), TPC Harding Park, and Golf Club de Chapultepec share similar Poa greens and penal Kikuyu rough. The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational follows the Sentry Tournament of Champions, WM Phoenix Open, and Genesis Invitational as the fourth Designated, Elevated event of the season, and third over the last four weeks. February27February 27, 2023. rory mcilroy pga tour career mode best attributes. Some of the bigger names in this field that check that box are Gary Woodland, Sungjae Im, Jon Rahm, Patrick Cantlay, Wyndham Clark, Tom Kim, Tom Hoge, Keegan Bradley, Collin Morikawa, and Rory McIlroy. That changed on Thursday. "On the PGA Tour, from 20 yards in the rough, when you have at least 10 yards of green to work with, [Tour pros] leave 50 percent of their shots outside of eight feet." Why the key to. in communications. It's much easier to play your second shot 150 yards back on the fairway than from 120 yards out in the rough. The statistics are based on the PGA Tours Shotlink system, which tracks each shot played on the tour. Hes won here before at Bay Hill back in 2016, he just finished 5th at Scottsdale three weeks ago, hes won at Quail Hollow, took 11th at Congaree back in October, and last summer, before this transition really blossomed, he made the cut and finished 55th at Southern Hills in the PGA Championship. Their success off the tee, however, didnt turn any of the three into dominant players. If theres room for hope for the field against this dominant force, Bermuda is the surface which Rahm has had the most trouble with over his career. For the season, Paul Casey ranked 9th in corrected proximity and 7th in SG approach. Go to the range and map out your 50%-100% distances with every club. After Scott, the rest of the top 10 in Event History includes: McIlroy, Rahm, Homa, Xander Schauffele, Luke Donald, Viktor Hovland, Justin Thomas, Aaron Baddeley, and Hideki Matsuyama. They may again if they can play from the fairway and make up for it with elite Short Game. As is normally the case when we get to a difficult golf course that tests all-around game, the markers of success at Bay Hill do not vary drastically from what it takes to succeed across all PGA TOUR courses. You can follow Kannon on Twitter at@LasVegasGolferand you can read below to see his favorite plays for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, which kicks off Thursday at Bay Hill, in Orlando, Fla. Keep scrolling past Kannons picks, and youll also see data from Chirp,a free-to-play mobile platform andGOLF.comaffiliate that features a range of games with enticing prizes, giving fans all kinds of ways to engage in the action without risking any money. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. 2. The answer is that his approach play was very good, but proximity as a measure of approach play was not. So, Sand Saves will be an important stat to track this week. Ten of the last 11 winners of this event ranked in the Top 55 on Tour in Proximity to the Hole from 200 or more yards. A look down the list of past champions illustrates a trend of above-average driving distance with total driving as a strength of their games. Similar to the back-to-back designated events in Phoenix and Los Angeles just a few weeks ago, The Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass is next week on the Tour schedule. You cant bomb-and-gouge Riviera given all the elevation changes and forced layups from angular tree lines. The top-10 players in SG: APP entering this week are Tom Hoge, Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy, Tom Kim, Collin Morikawa, Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris, Tony Finau, Mark Hubbard, and Shane Lowry. That means an emphasis on Distance, long-irons, and Short Game around firm and fast Bermuda greens. A true all-around test from tee-to-green is fairly rare on the PGA TOUR schedule outside of the Majors. The King, Arnold Palmer, took over the controls on this event in 1979, moving it to Bay Hill, the club he purchased in 1976. As for stats to avoid,Prox 75-125andSand Saves Gainedsaw the biggest drop in importance. Players who excel on approach will give themselves scoring opportunities on a course where those are not exactly abundant. February 16, 2023 2:36 pm ET. It appears your browser may be outdated. Willy Z was the first name I threw out as someone I thought could be your winner here this week. Paul Casey won the 2019 Valspar Championship by one stroke on a tough Innisbrook Copperhead course. Matsuyama has six top-20 finishes over the last two years between The Farmers, The Masters, Arnold Palmer Invitational, and U.S. Open at The Country Club. Heres a look at everything you can expect to help navigate 2023 Genesis Invitational odds. The best way to find out is to hit about 50 balls with each club. The former world No. Francesco Molinari a member at Riviera CC and top-10 finisher in this event in 2021 was also dominant in his victory at the 2018 Quicken Loans National at TPC Potomac. An even more loaded field is in store for the 2023 Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles. A 2003 Golf Digest article noted that the average PGA Tour drive traveled 260.4 yards in 1993, 279.8 yards in 2002 and 287.8 yards in 2003. Theyll often serve to bail out false fronts where players can make an easier up and down. ET) TV Network: Golf Channel. A recipient of the Arnold Palmer scholarship at Wake Forest University, there are some ties to The King for Willy Z. Im sure in Tigers mind he believes he can take care of that unfinished business at age 47. But a T4 finish at the Genesis Invitational last we saw him should now quell any remaining speculation as to whether hes healthy enough to contend again. For the 2019 season, the leaders in corrected proximity were Justin Thomas, Henrik Stenson and Viktor Hovland. Let the right arm straighten in the downswing. Adam Woodard. On the other hand, I think theres just too much length on par-4s to lean on your typical fairway finders here. All of those factors come under the assumption that play occurs on a calm day, which were not always promised. If you want to bet on Tiger for the novelty of it, there is a non-zero chance he finds his way into the weekend through his short game alone. The average PGA Tour pitching wedge shot carried 122 yards. 1 on Tour in Par 4 Scoring and 2nd in Par 5 Scoring. The top 10 players in Good Drives Gained are: Morikawa, Hahn, Fitzpatrick, Lowry, Sungjae Im, Martin Laird, Kevin Streelman, Harris English, Nick Taylor, and Luke List. Rory McIlroy has an intriguing idea for future PGA Tour events, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, 7 interesting gear finds inside Tommy Fleetwoods golf bag | Bag Spy, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Mashing those comp courses together, the top-10 players in SG: TOT are McIlroy, Morikawa, Zalatoris, Schauffele, Scheffler, Fitzpatrick, Jon Rahm, Matsuyama, Thomas, and Keegan Bradley, illustrating a theme of predominantly regular Major contenders. Hes 3rd in Greens in Regulation, 6th in Scrambling, and 29th in SG Putting. The CT8 GPS is the world's smallest Touch screen GPS golf trolley. Touts are lame. The courses are very different, but an emphasis on creative shot making is prevalent on both courses. Driving Accuracy specialists like Reavie, Kuchar, and Donald found their fair share of success here. Over the last 10 years, Dustin Johnson is the only favorite at odds shorter that 25-1 to win the Genesis Invitational. Are they right? You can see his blue dots are clustered very tightly around the 150-yard target. How do LIV Golfs TV ratings really compare to the PGA Tour? Some notables in this weeks field among the worst in terms of total strokes gained at Riviera CC include: Kevin Kisner, Jason Day, Keith Mitchell, Tyrrell Hatton, and Gary Woodland. LPGA pros hit 4-irons that total 180 yards; 5-irons 170; 6-irons 159; 7-irons 147; 8-irons 135; and 9-irons 123 yards. But even then, the very best putters on Tour are averaging just over 80' of made putts per round. Both are difficult tests that favor distance over precision off the tee with a classical and tree-lined look, and share the Tom Fazio influence after his renovations to Riviera in the 2000s. Will Zalatoris is one of our expert's top picks this week. They can hit 5-iron shots 195 to 205 yards; 6-iron shots 180 to 190 yards; 7-iron shots 165 to 180 yards; 8-iron shots 150 to 170 yards; and 9-iron shots 140 to 155 yards. New tee at TPC Sawgrass No. Now - bear in mind the PGA tour players are playing tough courses with pins cut tight to the edges, so from 180, they might well be aiming it 20 feet away from the hole. Those at the top of Genesis Invitational odds boards rarely prove able to close the door at this event. The most prudent betting approach would likely be to target against Tiger in Matchups markets with his odds often overinflated. In 1993, my 1st year, I believe still were using Titleist Tour Balata - then the "Professional" came out next. The powerful lightweight lithium battery comes with a 5 year full warranty and the trolley has an extended 3 year warranty. Most of the recent difficult scoring venues like TPC Potomac, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Torrey Pines (South), Innisbrook (Copperhead), and Bay Hill should serve as strong comps to simulate the all-around tee-to-green game required to contend. I have a hard time picturing players like Homa, Cantlay, Thomas, and Morikawa priced longer than Zalatoris, which means Zal should open around 25-1. Following a busy West Coast Swing, the Arnold Palmer Invitational has not always ushered in as many of the elites as weve grown used to seeing at the Genesis Invitational. There are 11 players who rank top-40 in SG: ARG, Scrambling Gained, and Bogey Avoidance: Max Homa, Patrick Cantlay, Tommy Fleetwood, Sahith Theegala, Hideki Matsuyama, Tom Kim, Seamus Power, JJ Spaun, Andrew Putnam, Aaron Baddeley, and Mackenzie Hughes. Last year, 21.7% of approach shots came from 150-175 yards, which is a touch above the TOUR average of 20.3%. Historical Tournament Stats Comprehensive statistical breakdown of past PGA Tour tournaments. The top 10 in this category are: McIlroy, Fitzpatrick, Scheffler, Finau, Homa, Bradley, Morikawa, Shane Lowry, Sungjae Im, and Tommy Fleetwood. PGA Tour players of the early 21st century unquestionably hit the ball farther than throughout the 20th century. That said, players wont gain much on the field with a birdie start on 1. In terms of stats to de-prioritize when handicapping Genesis Invitational odds, all proximity stats frominside 150yards did not correlate with success at Riviera CC. Shot Scope have analysed their database of golfers to find out just how close golfers hit the ball from varying approach shots. 1 has played in 10 events this season. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 Tips: JT leads Jamie's picks for Bay Hill. Hes never won on the east coast before, and had avoided coming to this event up until last year, where he lost 5+ strokes with his short game. 1 in Bogey Avoidance in comp conditions and Comp Course History. About one-third of approaches will come from beyond 200 yards, and a significant 70% of approaches will come from over 150 yards. Fighting for pars will be crucial on a firm, wind-exposed course with just one hole outside of the three par-5s featuring a scoring average below par. The leader, Jim Furyk, clocked in at 31 feet. 0 0 0. PGA Tour Average Proximity to Hole - Fairway (in yards) 29Jan 0. This may be good week to monitor U.S. Open futures if value players impress. This year, the world will be watching as he prepares to make a surprise return, his first PGA TOUR start since The Open in July 2022. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). The 82-time winner on Tour returns to competition this week at his Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club, a designated event on the revamped Tour . Its hardif not impossibleto win with poor putting and even worse approach shots. Nearly 50% of those approaches come from between 150-200 yards. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF. We saw Scottie Scheffler win at both tracks last year. With all the course-fit profiles in mind, Im leaning early toward the 2023 Genesis Invitational player pool below. After McIlroy, my models top-10 rounds out with: Homa, Finau, Morikawa, Rahm, Sungjae Im, Cantlay, Schauffele, Day, and Scheffler. Again, well see if he can win it outright but he certainly has the chops to contend. A 2009 article on the Swingman Golf website listed the average carry (the distance a ball travels in the air) of each club used by PGA Tour players over the previous four years. Welcome to our weekly PGA Tour gambling-tips column, featuring picks fromGOLF.comsexpert prognosticator, Brady Kannon. In any case, its still a PGA TOUR event, and SG: APP still reigns supreme. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Ideally, the tour would like firm and fast fairways which would give 30 to 40 yards of roll out. Quail Hollow would seem to be the best place to start when looking for comps to Bay Hill. But, I think this event is really a testament to players who are well-rounded across a number of specific distance and short game-oriented categories. At the Genesis Invitational, Matsuyama gained strokes putting in three of his last four appearances. Piecing this together, Im looking to hone in on players who are above-average in SG: APP, Prox 150+, SG: ARG, SG: T2G (Difficult Conditions), Course & Comp Course History, and Total Weighted Putting. Distance off the tee is never necessarily a disadvantage, but the actual driving distance is 16% lower than the average TOUR course at only 282.5 yards. This places a particular emphasis on Proximity from 150+, especially with angled doglegs which encourage less than driver off the tee. Like TPC Scottsdale, Augusta National, and Harbour Town, Bay Hill is another course in which we see course form repeat itself over time, meaning players that have done well here in the past, tend to continually do so. One of the biggest problems that golfers have when it comes to distances is that they have difficulty finding an accurate number. We hate touts. This will be our last stop on the West Coast swing, so its worth revisiting the Poa specialists: Homa, Rahm, Rodgers, Kuchar, Taylor, Scott, Peter Malnati, Wyndham Clark, Webb Simpson, and Justin Suh. 9 could mean Players' first 600-yard hole Courses Golfweek's Best Courses Best You Can Play, state by state Top private courses, state by state Top 200 Resort Golf. 10 players rank above-average in each of this weeks top-10 correlated stats with success at Riviera CC. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Just six players rate out above average in each of those categories: McIlroy, Homa, Finau, Rahm, Cantlay, and Scheffler. Inside the top 10 were major winners Louis Oosthuizen, Bubba Watson and Dustin Johnson. Their full shot distances are longer. I wont be going out of my way to play this group of players who have chosen to skip this event when given the choice. Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. The opening hole is a downhill, 500-yard "Par-5." (I'm air-quoting the designation because it could just as easily be labeled a difficult par-4.) Matsuyama, Young, Homa, and Sungjae Im are all players Ill be keeping a close eye on when odds release Monday. We are in the teeth of the grinder stretch on the PGA TOUR. Previewing the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational with our top picks based on the best PGA Tour odds. Now he arrives more in the role of an underdog with the price to go along with it, but at a course at which hes experienced very high level success. My guess is your winner will have to be excellent in at least two of those three areas this week. Rory must have a flair for Invitationals, as if theres an event hes proven more consistency at than the Genesis, it is assuredly the Arnold Palmer Invitational. The biggest differences at this course compared to TOUR average come fromP5: 550-600andOpportunities Gained, which fall outside the top 10. Kisner, who played Augusta National on Sunday, said he had 210 yards to the front of the green - "I pounded it and there was no roll" - and anticipated that "the bombers can probably get home with 5- or 6-iron.". This week however, it looks like it is back to normal for least a couple of the four days. Brian Harman is the 24th ranked player in the world yet is priced more than 3.5 times longer than 35-1. Riviera CC is the site of Tiger Woods first PGA TOUR start back at the 1992 Los Angeles Open. In his brief career, Ims had five Top 10 finishes in the state of Florida. The API tests players all-around games and has produced a decorated list of winners. As we flip the calendar to March, some madness in the world of golf is likely on tap in the coming weeks as well. That also checks out when looking at Riviera CC itself, as he ranks No. Bet on any golfer by clicking on the Arnold Palmer Invitational odds in the table. From a putting standpoint, the Bermuda specialists stand out on the Florida Swing. It features tight doglegs, narrow fairways, unpredictable Kikuyu rough, and tricky, firm, and fast Poa greens. Scroll to the bottom of this article to compare complete API outright odds across legal U.S. sportsbooks. As always here atTheLines, well go over an early look at the tournament, giving you what you need to know before the Genesis Invitational odds even hit the board. There should be a clear gap in Arnold Palmer Invitational odds between the top three and the rest of the field this week. Scott has not missed a cut since the PGA Championship in May 2022, and has four top-6 finishes over his last nine starts. having already secured his 2022/23 card with a stunning 50-foot birdie putt on the last hole of the Korn Ferry Tour Championship - enough to . His putter continues to trend, now gaining with the flat stick in six consecutive events, so if that continues, theres no question he has the tools to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational. They should also have established success both at this event and other difficult comp courses. Get your FREE E-Book! That includes Will Zalatoris, the only notable top player absent from the WM Phoenix Open last week, along with the No. M.L. This helps me get shallow which is needed to get lower flight and spin. This has really help me get my wedges flighted lower with spin. Scrambling GainedandSG: Short Gamemake the biggest jump compared to TOUR average, each falling inside the top 10. Typical pitching wedge shots total 109 yards. From an Approach standpoint, Bay Hill offers a different test on second shots than were used to seeing week to week on the PGA TOUR. In his career, he has three Top 20 finishes at Bay Hill, two Top 10s at Quail Hollow, and finished 34th in the PGA Championship at Southern Hills. Touts are lame. The No. A presence of long par-4s and long par-3s have shown consistent across most difficult venues. Will Zalatoris in difficult conditions. This is one of few PGA TOUR weeks where the absence of some of the LIV players will feel especially apparent. The way to fix this stat is to account for the initial distance to the hole and the starting location (fairway, rough, etc.). The average shot hit with a driver carried 260 yards and traveled a total of 287.3 yards, including the roll. This event shifted from an Open to an Invitational in 2020 when Woods took over as host. Individual holes range from 100- 600 yards which are 90-550 meters. I personally really like to see him returning to prominence and I wouldnt mind an outright win here this week either. Its broken out by projected pricing/odds tier for Draft Kings. 80-100 yards. three appearances): Scott, Schauffele, Homa, Rahm, Hahn, Holmes, Collin Morikawa, Tony Finau, Patrick Cantlay, Jordan Spieth, Russell Henley, Alex Noren, KH Lee, Lanto Griffin, Scott Piercy, and Brian Harman. Only 80.4 percent of PGA Tour pros hit the green from 115 yards out in the fairway, which means that 1 in 5 miss the green altogether. The fairways get narrower as you get closer to the green, encouraging even the longest hitters to take less than driver off the tee, and effectively removes wedge shots that would be more common on easier layouts. With that said, there are still plenty of signals to draw from other long and difficult comp conditions. . Proximity to Hole from < 10 yards | PGA TOUR Stats To watch in a smaller size, scroll down while your video is playing. 1 also ranks No. My advice to Frank Nobilo is to ignore proximity and use SG approach instead to silence the critics. Whether good or bad, we dont know how many more times well get to see Tiger play in a professional event, so I cant wait to see how he looks this week. Now we head for another one of the elevated events, The Arnold Palmer Invitational and he has five more picks as well as a comprehensive preview. Note, he has a 10th place finish here at Bay Hill, a 17th in Scottsdale, and lost to Justin Thomas in a playoff at Southern Hills in the 2022 PGA Championship. On paper, its a perfect fit for Rahm who can lean on all his ball-striking strengths and long-iron prowess to generate amble scoring opportunities at Bay Hill. Its clear he gets the most out of his game as the conditions grow more difficult. He averaged 303 yards off the tee at PGA National, 29th in the field. hr case studies employee relations . Though Mr. Palmer has passed on, the tinkering at Bay Hill continues. Its also his first non-Major start since the 2020 ZOZO Championship. I expect Will Zalatoris to be the most popularly bet player this week. Eliminate the longest five and the shortest five, and then figure out the middle of the remaining group. A second consecutive elevated event is the perfect way to fill the void left behind for casual sports bettors, especially those with a little extra Super Bowl winnings in their accounts to spare. Im just saying, theres a chance he might not boat race this one! Tony Finau can confirm. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails?
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